After gruelling super Tuesday contests, we are now set for the November general election, which will pit former President Donald Trump versus current President Joe Biden. The last rematch between a former and current President was 70 years ago. So, what will carry Trump to victory? It’s a focus that Biden is a weak President that’s bad for America. That he has allowed inflation under his watch. That the invasion in the Southern border will tear America apart. The American taxpayer does not have the money to foot the bill for over three million illegal immigrants that have entered America in the three years of the Biden administration.
On the other hand, Biden will frame the November election as a fight for American democracy. That the constitutional guardrails will be off in a Trump second term, that Trump would be a dictator on Day one, as he would tell his friend Sean Hannity in a Fox News Town Hall. Biden will argue that in the final days of the Trump administration, Trump had urged his supporters to storm the Capitol and stop the certification of the electoral college win of Joe Biden. In the words of former President Ronald Reagan, the peaceful transfer of power from one administration to another since the nation’s founding is simply a miracle but this miracle almost never happened on January 6 2021. Nevertheless, despite all these allegations, Trump supporters don’t seem in the least bit bothered that their candidate could usher America into an age of authoritarianism. In fact, they believe Trump is the strongman America needs.
Because of this, Trump is leading Biden nationally and in key swing states. When you consider the number of Democrats that voted uncommitted, that’s roughly more than 100,000. When you divide this by seven swing states, that’s roughly a loss of more than 14,000 in each of the swing states. The American election is a state by state contest. The margin of victory in the tightest of the swing states these days is just 11,000 and so that shows states such as North Carolina, Wisconsin, Georgia, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan are where the election is going to be decided. And the margins tend to be razor thin. Biden in addition to his weaknesses, now has the Israel Hamas war on his hands, and young voters will be repulsed by lack of clarity on the issue. Remember, both side-ism affects Democrats more than Republicans. In 2016, both side-ism of both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are bad for America cost the Democrats victory. And in 2024, likely both side-ism of both Biden and Trump are bad for America will cost Democrats the November election.
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